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Market context

Macro

Research on policy, economic cycles, liquidity and regimes.

Move from the latest market state to the research explaining why it matters.
497published records
Macro intelligence

Regime and policy research

Follow the research connecting policy, inflation, liquidity and the wider economy.

497 observations
Browse topics & archive details
Routed articles497Rebuilt when articles change
Macro topics151In the reports on this page
Cited sources56In the reports on this page
Research edges240Draft connections on this page

The article total covers this entire filtered desk. Topic, asset and evidence coverage below relates only to the 12 reports on this page.

Latest research

Macro research and regime context

Fed Cuts, Then Holds: Market-Implied Path to 3.00–3.25% by Mid-2026
Rates & Yields (📉📈)96% desk relevance

Fed Cuts, Then Holds: Market-Implied Path to 3.00–3.25% by Mid-2026

The curve and FedWatch odds point to a December cut, a brief January pause, and more easing into spring—likely landing the target range near 3.00–3.25% by mid-2026. I outline accelerants, risks, and why 2027 could see inflation r…

Analysis · 4 min
The Treasury Just Drew Its Line in the Sand — And It’s at the 10-Year
Rates & Yields (📉📈)96% desk relevance

The Treasury Just Drew Its Line in the Sand — And It’s at the 10-Year

The U.S. Treasury just made its clearest signal yet: the 10-year yield is the line in the sand. This isn’t just another bond market fluctuation — it's a structural defense of financial stability and government financing capacity.…

Data Brief · 3 min
The Dollar’s Last Stand: Why the System Squeezes Before It Breaks
Long-Form Thesis Reports (📘🔥)96% desk relevance

The Dollar’s Last Stand: Why the System Squeezes Before It Breaks

The dollar doesn’t collapse when it’s weak — it spikes under maximum strain. This is the final squeeze phase of the global monetary system before transition. When reserve systems end, they don’t fade — they compress, surge, and t…

Analysis · 7 min
Pattern Nexus Worldview Manifesto: The Turning Has Begun
Site News96% desk relevance

Pattern Nexus Worldview Manifesto: The Turning Has Begun

A manifesto for those who see the world shifting. The Pattern Nexus worldview defines the coming civilizational turning — sovereignty, systems thinking, technological acceleration, decentralized intelligence, and the rise of buil…

Analysis · 3 min