Research on policy, economic cycles, liquidity and regimes.
Move from the latest market state to the research explaining why it matters.Follow the research connecting policy, inflation, liquidity and the wider economy.
The article total covers this entire filtered desk. Topic, asset and evidence coverage below relates only to the 12 reports on this page.
Since the 2000s, nearly every major asset has inflated together — stocks, commodities, yields, and metals. As money supply outruns real production, prices rise despite rising productivity. The “Everything Bubble” isn’t about grow…
A surge on Wall Street pushed major stock indexes close to record territory while tech giants grabbed headlines. Apple shares jumped on strong iPhone 17 demand, gold prices continued their record run amid talk of a “debasement tr…
Gold is breaking new highs while the U.S. 10-year yield stalls near 4%. History shows gold moves first — and yields follow. Explore how falling real rates, policy shifts, and inflation expectations are aligning to signal the next…
Gold has officially reached the upper boundary of its long-term logarithmic channel — a level that has capped every major cycle since the 1970s. If it keeps climbing from here, we may not be seeing a rally at all, but the beginni…
Economic inequality isn’t just an income gap — it shapes human potential, mental health, and social stability. This post connects psychology, sociology, and policy to reveal the hidden costs of inequality.
Everyone is waiting for rate cuts to bring relief to mortgages, cap rates, and risk assets. But the long end of the curve doesn’t care what the policy rate does when fiscal dominance takes hold. This long-form explainer maps the …
The dollar isn’t dying — it’s upgrading. The U.S. converts liabilities into globally demanded collateral (Treasuries), backstopped by the world’s largest official gold reserve and increasingly distributed over programmable rails …
After Powell’s quiet remarks in Philadelphia about ending Quantitative Tightening (QT), subtle tremors are building across the repo and collateral markets. The system is whispering before it screams — and all signs suggest the ne…
Markets now expect another 25 bps rate cut at the Fed’s Oct 28–29 meeting as unemployment rises and repo-market strains flicker. Powell signaled QT’s end is “coming into view,” Waller endorsed another cut, and Musalem said he cou…
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s recent comments on ending Quantitative Tightening signal that the liquidity cycle is turning again. With repo market stress quietly building, QE 2026 may arrive sooner than most expect. This …
Gold is pulling back to $4,210 after its record-breaking rally above $4,400, but this retracement is part of the natural rhythm of the market. Behind the short-term volatility, the long-term structural forces driving gold higher …
A hidden liquidity crisis is forming under the surface of global markets. Repo markets are flashing stress, regional banks are reporting fraud-related losses, and gold is breaking all-time highs. This analysis connects the dots —…