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Article

Iran’s Election Pause: The Escalation Window Has Narrowed

The first follow-up to the October 8 Iran forecast confronts Trump’s election pause, checks actual naval posture, and follows the conflict through shipping, infrastructure, fuel and financing. The November 5 endpoint stays fixed. Four original figures, dated …

U.S. Strategic Posture (🦅🇺🇸)
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Article

Washington Turns Russia Sanctions Into an Energy-Price Waiver Fight

President Trump signed an executive order on October 16 waiving major sanctions, restrictions, and duties under the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026, just before implementation was due. The move drew congressional criticism and a publ…

U.S. Strategic Posture (🦅🇺🇸)
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Article

Moldova Turns a 60-Day Emergency Into a Winter Energy-Security Firewall

Moldova’s parliament approved a nationwide 60-day state of emergency in the energy and hydrological sectors beginning September 26, 2026. The government says the measure is preventive, aimed at giving authorities faster tools before winter as drought, electri…

Middle East & Energy Geopolitics (🛢️🔥)
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