A data-driven breakdown of U.S. versus China economic growth from 2000–2024, showing why China failed to overtake the United States despite years of projections. Using GDP levels, growth rates, and scale mathematics, this report explains how demographics, housing collapse, trade regimes, and financial infrastructure reshaped the outcome — and why marginal U.S. growth now moves the global system.
Scale Is Destiny: Why China Didn’t Pass the U.S. — and Why That Matters
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