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Open →U.S. Treasury, Daily Treasury Par Real Yield Curve Rates, 2026
home.treasury.gov
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Open →U.S. Treasury, Treasury Announces Marketable Borrowing Estimates, August 3, 2026
home.treasury.gov
Evidence registrySource
Open →U.S. Treasury — Treasury International Capital data for July 2026, released September 2026.
home.treasury.gov
Evidence registryArticle
Open →Two Economies, One Balance Sheet: The Unstable Barbell of 2026
Reserve support has returned, but real long rates, fiscal supply, and an AI-energy capital wave are splitting the U.S. economy between capital strength and household fragility. This data-rich Pattern Nexus report maps the four feedback loops connecting Federa…
Liquidity, QE/QT & Collateral (💧🏦)Article
Open →GDP Slowed to 1.5%—But the U.S. Economy Did Not Weaken the Way the Headline Implies
Real GDP slowed to a 1.5% annual rate in Q2 2026, but the private domestic economy accelerated to 3.9% while nominal GDP grew 7.9%. This Pattern Nexus analysis separates the headline from the internal economy and explains what consumer spending, business inve…
📊Macro & MarketsArticle
Open →The Fed’s Long-End Trap: Why a 4.65% 10-Year Is Already Doing the Tightening
A full July 2026 data reconstruction of the Federal Reserve’s next policy path, showing how a 4.65% nominal 10-year, 2.44% real 10-year, Treasury supply, oil risk and uneven liquidity conditions create a hawkish-hold trap.
📊Macro & MarketsArticle
Open →Hard Assets Follow Liquidity, Not Inflation? The Full Data Reconstruction — 2026 Update
A 2003–2026 reconstruction of Fed liquidity, gold, housing and NASDAQ data, plus an experimental stablecoin-augmented liquidity index. Meta tags: liquidity conditions index, hard assets, gold, Federal Reserve balance sheet, Treasury General Account, reverse …
🧭Nexus ReportsArticle
Open →The New Fed Chair Does Not Inherit an Economy. He Inherits the Permission Stack.
Kevin Warsh is not simply inheriting the Federal Reserve. He is inheriting the control layer where inflation, debt service, Treasury funding, energy shocks, AI infrastructure demand, repo plumbing, collateral stress, political pressure, and liquidity permissi…
📊Macro & MarketsArticle
Open →Do You Understand Bank Reserves — or Just the Headline Version?
Most people think banks lend deposits. That’s not how the system works. Test your understanding of reserves, collateral, and Grade-A assets.
Systems Science (♾️🔍)Article
Open →Treasury Buyback Confirms the New Liquidity Regime
Treasury retires $12.5B in debt in a single buyback operation, confirming the shift into a post-QT, Treasury-driven liquidity regime.
Liquidity, QE/QT & Collateral (💧🏦)Article
Open →Did Jerome Powell Plan a $45 Billion T-Bill Buying Program? A Pattern Nexus Investigation
A fully sourced investigation into whether the Federal Reserve planned a $45B monthly Treasury-bill purchase program in December 2025. This Pattern Nexus breakdown differentiates analyst forecasts from official policy, clarifies what Reserve Management Purcha…
Liquidity, QE/QT & Collateral (💧🏦)