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Research on policy, economic cycles, liquidity and regimes.

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Regime and policy research

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485 observations
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The article total covers this entire filtered desk. Topic, asset and evidence coverage below relates only to the 12 reports on this page.

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Macro research and regime context

Fed Cuts, Then Holds: Market-Implied Path to 3.00–3.25% by Mid-2026
Rates & Yields (📉📈)96% desk relevance

Fed Cuts, Then Holds: Market-Implied Path to 3.00–3.25% by Mid-2026

The curve and FedWatch odds point to a December cut, a brief January pause, and more easing into spring—likely landing the target range near 3.00–3.25% by mid-2026. I outline accelerants, risks, and why 2027 could see inflation r…

Analysis · 4 min