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Article

Feb 18, 2026 Tape: AI Bid, Oil Risk Premium

The Feb 18 tape was clean: tech/AI led equities higher, VIX bled, oil carried a visible geopolitical risk premium, and the UST curve steepened. Here’s the mechanical read-through and the world-news drivers.

Signals & Charts (📈)
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Article

Parallel Order? Trump, Putin, and the Emergent Board of Peace

Trump’s new “Board of Peace” began as a Gaza conflict tool but is already expanding into something bigger. This piece explores the speculative, but plausible, scenario where it becomes a parallel world-order surface — with Trump and Putin as parallel actors, …

War, Conflict & Escalation Signals (⚠️💣)
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Article

Earth’s Climate Is a Control System, Not a Thermostat

Climate risk is dominated by circulation stability, not surface averages. This analysis maps solar spectral variability, geomagnetic forcing, stratosphere–troposphere coupling, and AMOC heat transport into a single control-system model that explains why volat…

Systems Science (♾️🔍)
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