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Open →[1] IEA, Oil markets strain to plug the gap left by Middle East supply shortfall, September 18, 2026
www.iea.org
Evidence registryArticle
Open →Mar 12, 2026 Market Wrap (Late Print): DXY 100, Brent 100+, VIX 27, and Why I’m Watching SPY for Another Flush
The “index optics” crowd can keep coping. Today the plumbing talked: VIX +12%, Brent back over $100, DXY camped at 100, and yields still elevated. Add a war-risk premium plus private credit stress and you get a tape that’s not done. Here’s the full systems re…
Signals & Charts (📈)Article
Open →Auto Repos Are the New Foreclosures: The Household Stress Signal the Market Keeps Ignoring
Repossessions are rising, subprime delinquencies are hitting cycle highs, and loan terms keep stretching. This is the stealth foreclosure wave on wheels—and it maps cleanly to the next phase of the household credit cycle.
System Stress Signals (🚨🩸)Article
Open →Market Wrap: Gold +6%, Silver +10%, Fed Holds — Jan 28, 2026
Jan 28, 2026: The Fed held rates at 3.50–3.75% and the dollar firmed, yet gold ripped to ~5,423 (+5.90%) and silver to ~116.6 (+10.01%). Equities chopped around the 7,000 S&P level, yields rose, oil popped on storm-driven supply fears, and microcaps stayed in…
Signals & Charts (📈)Article
Open →Market Wrap: Gold Vertical, Nasdaq Leads, Dow Drag — Jan 27, 2026
Jan 27, 2026: Gold went vertical (+2.67%) with silver +7.15% while Nasdaq led (+0.91%) and the Dow bled (-0.83%) under a single-name drag. Yields ticked up, DXY bounced inside the 95 handle, crypto stayed firm, and the gainer/loser boards reminded everyone ho…
Signals & Charts (📈)Article
Open →The Interest Trap: Borrowing a Trillion Dollars to Service the Debt
The United States finished fiscal 2026 with a $1.992 trillion deficit. Net interest accounted for $1.052 trillion of it. I break down the budget, the refinancing cycle, and how borrowing to service debt creates another layer of future interest.
📊Macro & MarketsTopic
Open →Liquidity Feedback Loops (💧♾️)
How liquidity generates self-reinforcing patterns across markets, sovereign balance sheets, collateral structures, and global cycles.
Research avenueTopic
Open →Accelerating Returns & S-Curves (📈⚡)
Exponential dynamics shaping technology, markets, demographics, and the compression of time in modern systems.
Research avenueTopic
Open →Commodities, Gold & FX (💰🌍)
Gold, oil, metals, currency flows, commodity cycles, and global value benchmarks.
Research avenue