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Reuters, History of Japan’s intervention in currency markets, July 31, 2026
www.reuters.com
Evidence registryBank for International Settlements, carry-trade and August 2024 market turbulence bulletin
www.bis.org
Evidence registryU.S. Treasury, Treasury Announces Marketable Borrowing Estimates, August 3, 2026
home.treasury.gov
Evidence registryFederal Reserve Bank of New York, The Market Events of Mid-September 2019
www.newyorkfed.org
Evidence registryInternational Energy Agency — September 2026 Oil Market Report, September 11, 2026.
www.iea.org
Evidence registryReuters — Oil-market reaction to regional attacks and possible U.S.–Iran diplomacy, September 2026.
www.reuters.com
Evidence registry[1] IEA, Oil markets strain to plug the gap left by Middle East supply shortfall, September 18, 2026
www.iea.org
Evidence registryThe Sixes Are Never Good: Q3, October Surprises, and the Pattern Window Opening in 2026
The number is not the mechanism. The window is. Across 1976, 1987, 1996, 2006, and 2016, major shocks kept clustering around Q3 and October: currency pressure, regime transition, market crashes, military strikes, housing rollover, political scandal, nuclear e…
🤝Humanity & SocietyMar 12, 2026 Market Wrap (Late Print): DXY 100, Brent 100+, VIX 27, and Why I’m Watching SPY for Another Flush
The “index optics” crowd can keep coping. Today the plumbing talked: VIX +12%, Brent back over $100, DXY camped at 100, and yields still elevated. Add a war-risk premium plus private credit stress and you get a tape that’s not done. Here’s the full systems re…
Signals & Charts (📈)Auto Repos Are the New Foreclosures: The Household Stress Signal the Market Keeps Ignoring
Repossessions are rising, subprime delinquencies are hitting cycle highs, and loan terms keep stretching. This is the stealth foreclosure wave on wheels—and it maps cleanly to the next phase of the household credit cycle.
System Stress Signals (🚨🩸)Market Wrap: Gold +6%, Silver +10%, Fed Holds — Jan 28, 2026
Jan 28, 2026: The Fed held rates at 3.50–3.75% and the dollar firmed, yet gold ripped to ~5,423 (+5.90%) and silver to ~116.6 (+10.01%). Equities chopped around the 7,000 S&P level, yields rose, oil popped on storm-driven supply fears, and microcaps stayed in…
Signals & Charts (📈)