Liquidity Loop
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Market Wrap – December 16, 2025: Delayed Jobs Print, Energy Weakness, AI Leadership Holds as the Curve Reprices Quietly
Markets finished mixed after a delayed jobs report and softening activity data. Energy weakened, gold firmed, AI leadership held, and the curve continued a quiet repricing under the short-end liquidity regime.
Published Dec 16, 2025
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The Short-End Liquidity Loop: How T-Bills Became a Permanent Monetary Conveyor Belt
A step-by-step, plumbing-accurate explanation of the Fed–Treasury–dealer short-end liquidity loop: T-bill issuance, secondary-market bill purchases, the TGA reserve drain and fiscal re-injection, and why this regime has no credible end state.
Published Dec 12, 2025