QT ending
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The 10-Year Isn’t Misbehaving — It’s Warning the System Is Out of Liquidity
The U.S. 10-year yield is rising into rate cuts — not because the market is irrational, but because the financial system is operating on the liquidity floor. This article explains how regional bank failures, QT exhaustion, and the September 18, 2024 rate-cut pivot created the wedge pattern now signaling the next major regime shift.
Published Dec 2, 2025
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The Pivot Is Here: Rate Cuts, QT Ending, and the Setup for QE 2026 — The Melt-Up Phase Has Begun
The Federal Reserve cut rates to 3.75%–4.00% and scheduled the end of QT for December 1, 2025. Liquidity is turning, market plumbing is tight, and the setup for renewed balance-sheet expansion in 2026 is forming. This is the melt-up window — where asset holders move first, and inflation follows. Understand the cycle now to position for the next wave.
Published Oct 30, 2025