Arctic Circulation
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The Polar Vortex Is Approaching a November Record: From September Extremes to an Early Reversal Forecast
Five September wind records have given way to an exceptionally weak Arctic circulation. PN checks 47 NASA autumns, the 1952 and 1968 warming benchmarks, ECMWF model disagreement, and the separate test of surface cold delivery.
Published Nov 1, 2026
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Polar Vortex Watch 2026–27: The Early Organization Signal, Measured
The wind-speed test and the geometry test give different answers. Pattern Nexus compares 48 autumn wind series and 744 historical height fields, then examines solar activity, El Niño/QBO, earthquake counts and the 2014 winter analogue.
Published Sep 1, 2026