employment
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December 10, 2025: QT Ends, QE-Lite Begins
The Fed cut rates by 25 bps, acknowledged rising downside risks to employment, and quietly ended QT by initiating short-term Treasury purchases to maintain reserves, marking the start of a new liquidity regime.
Published Dec 10, 2025
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Record Holidays, Fragile Foundation: Black Friday 2025 vs the ADP Labor Shock
Black Friday and Cyber Week 2025 set new spending records, but the November ADP report showing a surprise 32,000-job loss reveals a fragile labor market underneath. Pattern Nexus connects the consumer sugar high to the small-business labor squeeze.
Published Dec 3, 2025