tail risk
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0 research objects2 articlesUpdated Oct 14, 2026
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Mar 5, 2026 Market Wrap (8:40 PM): VIX Won’t Relax, Gold Leads, and the Hormuz “Control Valve” Stays Partially Closed
Indexes tried to hold together, but the hedges kept talking: VIX stayed bid, gold/silver stayed firm, and the Gulf shipping/insurance layer remains the real constraint. My read: markets are still trying to price “normal” while paying up for tail risk.
Published Mar 5, 2026
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Earth’s Climate Is a Control System, Not a Thermostat
Climate risk is dominated by circulation stability, not surface averages. This analysis maps solar spectral variability, geomagnetic forcing, stratosphere–troposphere coupling, and AMOC heat transport into a single control-system model that explains why volatility and regional cold shocks can rise even in a warming mean.
Published Dec 20, 2025