credit stress
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CoreWeave Turns AI Data-Center Debt Into a Credit-Market Stress Test
CoreWeave shares and bonds came under pressure this week as investors repriced the leveraged neocloud model behind the AI data-center buildout. Axios reported CoreWeave bond yields above 15%, while Bloomberg reported credit-default pricing implying more than 60% odds of default within five years. The company’s own June 30, 2026 filing shows $35.6 billion of total indebtedness and $103.7 billion of remaining performance obligations, making CoreWeave a live test of whether AI demand can convert into enough cash flow to finance depreciation-heavy infrastructure.
Published Oct 16, 2026
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Fed Minutes: The Cut Trade Broke Because Inflation Has More Than One Engine
The June 16–17 FOMC minutes, released July 8, show a Fed that held rates steady but removed the easy easing bias. The deeper signal is that inflation pressure is now coming from multiple rails at once: tariffs, Middle East energy shock risk, AI infrastructure demand, Treasury term premium, and uneven consumer credit stress.
Published Jul 8, 2026
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Mar 12, 2026 Market Wrap (Late Print): DXY 100, Brent 100+, VIX 27, and Why I’m Watching SPY for Another Flush
The “index optics” crowd can keep coping. Today the plumbing talked: VIX +12%, Brent back over $100, DXY camped at 100, and yields still elevated. Add a war-risk premium plus private credit stress and you get a tape that’s not done. Here’s the full systems read using my screenshots + the Mar 12 news flow.
Published Mar 12, 2026