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I research, write, code, and run Pattern Nexus. Your support helps pay for hosting, data, research tools, and continued site development while keeping most research freely available. If this work has been useful to you, even $5 helps fund what comes next.

About this fundraiser

I research, write, code, and run Pattern Nexus. Your support helps pay for hosting, data, research tools, and continued site development while keeping most research freely available. If this work has been useful to you, even $5 helps fund what comes next.

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Article

The Treasury Market Is Changing Its Gatekeepers

Treasury clearing deadlines are approaching. PN examines who gains from netting and cross-margining, how access and funding terms shape the benefits, and what would signal pressure through 2027.

📊Макро та Ринки
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Article

Ample Reserves, Uneven Liquidity

Aggregate reserves can support rate control while funding conditions differ by institution. PN examines October research, overnight-rate distributions, Treasury cash, reserve management, and settlement timing to identify the next constraints to watch.

Ліквідність, QE/QT та забезпечення (💧🏦)
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Article

Two Economies, One Balance Sheet: The Unstable Barbell of 2026

Reserve support has returned, but real long rates, fiscal supply, and an AI-energy capital wave are splitting the U.S. economy between capital strength and household fragility. This data-rich Pattern Nexus report maps the four feedback loops connecting Federa…

Ліквідність, QE/QT та забезпечення (💧🏦)
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Article

Hot CPI, Wrong Consensus: The Inflation Pressure Pattern Nexus Saw Coming

October CPI exceeded consensus on both headline and core inflation. Eight earlier Pattern Nexus articles connect the oil and diesel shock, fertilizer risk, Fed tightening and refinancing pressure, with new Federal Reserve research and the November energy outl…

Інфляція, ІСЦ та реальні ставки (🔥📉)
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Article

Hard Assets, Liquidity and the Cost of Leverage

Where the historical relationship holds, where it breaks, and what the evidence says about housing. This November update extends the Pattern Nexus liquidity reconstruction with 37 charts, a reproducible workbook and the complete research package. It compares …

🧭Звіти Nexus
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Article

A Winter Energy Shock Could Become a Margin Call

A winter price shock can demand cash before a hedge’s physical offset pays out. PN examines October gas inventories, clearing terms, and a worked producer example to trace how variation margin, collateral, and financing deadlines can transmit energy stress.

Сигнали стресу системи (🚨🩸)
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Article

Who Actually Gets the Tariff Refund?

Tariff refunds can pass through importers to claim buyers, vendors, and employees. PN follows the cash and accounting in three company disclosures to test how much new operating relief the refund cycle creates.

Цикли ринку та режими (📅📊)
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