The Sun, Liquidity, and Financial Turning Points: The Regression Missed the Regime

A corrected Pattern Nexus analysis of solar cycles, liquidity, recessions, and financial tops from January 1987 through July 2026. The first monthly regression rejected a short-horizon trading signal. The properly specified regime test found that all four U.S. recession onsets in the sample occurred within twelve months of an official solar maximum or minimum, recession months were sharply concentrated around those extrema, and M2 growth was faster on official solar rising legs.