Export controls
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Evidence registryChina has brought border control into the same strategic-security frame as chips, AI, export controls, state secrets and technology transfer. The new rules do not merely regulate passports; they create a legal channel for treating engineers, researchers, exec…
Global Regimes & Realignments (🌍🧭)The old petrodollar was built around imported oil, dollar invoicing, military protection, and the recycling of global surpluses into American assets. The emerging commodity-dollar system is more direct: the United States produces record volumes of oil and gas…
📊Macro & MarketsCompute is a controllable chokepoint. Advanced chips require rare tools, rare know-how, and permissioned supply chains. Export controls, fab constraints, and cloud gates now throttle AI capabilities as a new layer of modern power.
Long-Form Thesis Reports (📘🔥)G7 leaders agreed on October 2, 2026 to coordinate an IEA-linked release of 100 million barrels of diesel and crude over four months, with a substantial diesel release in the first 20 days. The package followed U.S. pressure on Europe over emergency diesel in…
Middle East & Energy Geopolitics (🛢️🔥)