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Policy Watch — Fed, Treasury & CBs (🏛️📜)
Tracking monetary, fiscal, and regulatory decisions from the Fed, Treasury, ECB, BOJ, PBOC, and global central banks.
Research avenueU.S. Treasury, Daily Treasury Par Real Yield Curve Rates, 2026
home.treasury.gov
Evidence registryU.S. Treasury, Treasury Announces Marketable Borrowing Estimates, August 3, 2026
home.treasury.gov
Evidence registryU.S. Treasury, Treasury Announces Increased Sizes of Nominal Long-End Liquidity Support Buybacks Beginning September 9
home.treasury.gov
Evidence registryU.S. Treasury FiscalData, Understanding the National Debt / Debt to the Penny framework
fiscaldata.treasury.gov
Evidence registryU.S. Treasury — Treasury International Capital data for July 2026, released September 2026.
home.treasury.gov
Evidence registryThe Yen's Hidden Backstop: FIMA, Dollar Creation and the Treasury Market
Japan's 2026 yen intervention was enormous, but Federal Reserve balance-sheet data show FIMA was not used to fund it. That may be the more important finding. FIMA sits behind the global dollar system as a mechanism allowing approved foreign monetary authorit…
Global Macro Signals (🌐📡)What If the 6–7% Treasury Yield Trade Is the Trap?
A lot of smart money is starting to position for a 1970s-style inflation repeat where the 10-year Treasury yield spikes toward 6% or 7%. The chart overlay looks convincing. Inflation today can be lined up against the 1970s if the data is shifted and framed th…
🧭Nexus ReportsThe GENIUS Act and the Stablecoin State: How Private Dollars Become a Treasury Demand Engine
The GENIUS Act didn’t just “regulate crypto.” It formalized a new payments rail where private dollars can scale—and where reserve rules turn stablecoins into an indirect Treasury demand vector.
Liquidity, QE/QT & Collateral (💧🏦)