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Article

Fed Chair Odds as a Term-Premium Signal: Warsh Takes the Lead

Prediction markets are repricing Trump’s Fed chair pick toward Kevin Warsh. In the Pattern Nexus framework, this is not “personality politics.” It’s a term-premium and governance-risk signal that can move the long end, especially as allies fracture on trade b…

Policy Watch — Fed, Treasury & CBs (🏛️📜)
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Article

December 10, 2025: QT Ends, QE-Lite Begins

The Fed cut rates by 25 bps, acknowledged rising downside risks to employment, and quietly ended QT by initiating short-term Treasury purchases to maintain reserves, marking the start of a new liquidity regime.

Liquidity, QE/QT & Collateral (💧🏦)
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