CPIAUCSL: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, seasonally adjusted.
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Evidence registryPublished Pattern Nexus research article
Signals & Charts (📈)The Fed already ended QT and expanded Treasury holdings through bill-focused reserve-management purchases, but that repaired the reserve layer without suppressing the long end. With the 10-year Treasury at 4.95%, the 30-year at 5.37%, real long yields near th…
Policy Watch — Fed, Treasury & CBs (🏛️📜)A full Pattern Nexus reconstruction of U.S. and global oil inventories from the 1970s through the 2026 war shock, including original regressions, depletion scenarios, strategic reserves, refinery constraints, inflation, growth, rates and the path forward. Me…
📊Macro & Markets