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Article

Repo Usage Is Expanding Again

Overnight repo operations have shifted from dormant to persistent over the past several weeks. This article documents the expansion in repo usage, what it signals about short-term funding conditions, and what to watch next — without overinterpretation.

Liquidity, QE/QT & Collateral (💧🏦)
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Article

Recessions Aren’t the Crisis — They’re the Trigger

Recessions are not the catastrophe — they’re the mechanical pivot that flips the modern dollar system from contraction back into liquidity expansion. A deep dive into why doom prophets misread the cycle, why 2026 is structurally important, and how the funding…

System Stress Signals (🚨🩸)
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Article

December 10, 2025: QT Ends, QE-Lite Begins

The Fed cut rates by 25 bps, acknowledged rising downside risks to employment, and quietly ended QT by initiating short-term Treasury purchases to maintain reserves, marking the start of a new liquidity regime.

Liquidity, QE/QT & Collateral (💧🏦)
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Article

ECB Financial-Stability Warning: Why Near-Zero CISS Is Dangerous

The ECB just issued a financial-stability warning while its systemic stress index (CISS) sits near zero. This report breaks down what the ECB really sees, how bank–nonbank linkages, dollar funding, stablecoins and sovereign risk fit together, and why this…

System Stress Signals (🚨🩸)
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