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Article

The Asian Liquidity Supercycle — Audio-Video Edition

Episode 6 of the weekly Pattern Nexus audio-video series turns Part 6 of Cycles of Power into a shorter story about how liberalized capital flows, dollar borrowing, currency pegs, the Asian Financial Crisis, Russia, LTCM, the dot-com boom, and China's WTO ent…

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Article

QE 2026, Phase Two: When the Long End Forces Duration Control

The Fed already ended QT and expanded Treasury holdings through bill-focused reserve-management purchases, but that repaired the reserve layer without suppressing the long end. With the 10-year Treasury at 4.95%, the 30-year at 5.37%, real long yields near th…

Policy Watch — Fed, Treasury & CBs (🏛️📜)
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Article

The Leverage Machine — Audio-Video Edition

Episode 5 of the weekly Pattern Nexus audio-video series turns Part 5 of Cycles of Power into a shorter story about how the Volcker shock, Reagan–Thatcher deregulation, market-based credit, junk bonds, leveraged buyouts, securitization, derivatives, and elect…

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Article

Larak Strike Turns Hormuz Into a Mine-War Energy Shock

U.S. forces struck two Iranian launchers on Larak Island near the Strait of Hormuz on August 30 after U.S. officials said IRGC personnel were preparing rockets carrying sea mines for the waterway. Iran claimed retaliatory strikes on bases hosting U.S. forces …

Middle East & Energy Geopolitics (🛢️🔥)
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Article

The Monetary Break — Audio-Video Edition

Episode 4 of the weekly Pattern Nexus audio-video series turns Part 4 of Cycles of Power into a shorter story about how silver redemption, the Nixon Shock, floating currencies, Eurodollars, oil shocks, petrodollar recycling, and offshore banking transformed t…

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Article

The Command Line — Audio-Video Edition

Episode 3 of the weekly Pattern Nexus audio-video series turns Part 3 of Cycles of Power into a shorter story about how Dartmouth, integrated circuits, ARPA, SAGE, Fairchild Semiconductor, Silicon Valley, and IBM built the first compute–defense–industrial com…

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