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Article

🧭 IMF Warns Global Debt Could Exceed 100% of GDP by 2029

The IMF’s latest Fiscal Monitor warns that world public debt could climb beyond 100 percent of GDP by 2029 — a threshold unseen since the aftermath of World War II. Behind the numbers lies a structural problem: modern economies are addicted to debt-funded gro…

Policy Watch — Fed, Treasury & CBs (🏛️📜)
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Article

Where Europe’s Sovereign Stress Reaches Bank Balance Sheets

Government-bond repricing can reach a bank through accounting, collateral cover, and funding costs on different schedules. PN examines the latest sovereign-exposure data and follows one bond through those channels to identify where pressure could become a con…

Europe & NATO (🇪🇺🛡️)
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Article

Who Actually Gets the Tariff Refund?

Tariff refunds can pass through importers to claim buyers, vendors, and employees. PN follows the cash and accounting in three company disclosures to test how much new operating relief the refund cycle creates.

Market Cycles & Regimes (📅📊)
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