Topic
Open →Rates & Yields (📉📈)
Interest rate trends, yield curves, real rates, duration stress, and Treasury market structure.
Research avenueNexus Search
Search public articles and published connected research.
Use this focused workspace without learning the underlying database or content model.89published records
Explore the archive
Find the research behind your question
Top matched records in the current language. Counts describe this result set, not the entire archive.
Article
Open →The QE Decade — Audio-Video Edition
Episode 8 of the weekly Pattern Nexus audio-video series turns Part 8 of Cycles of Power into a shorter story about how quantitative easing, zero interest rates, dollar swap lines, Basel III, safe-asset scarcity, and repeated central-bank intervention replace…
🧭Nexus ReportsArticle
Open →Two Economies, One Balance Sheet: The Unstable Barbell of 2026
Reserve support has returned, but real long rates, fiscal supply, and an AI-energy capital wave are splitting the U.S. economy between capital strength and household fragility. This data-rich Pattern Nexus report maps the four feedback loops connecting Federa…
Liquidity, QE/QT & Collateral (💧🏦)Article
Open →The Yen's Hidden Backstop: FIMA, Dollar Creation and the Treasury Market
Japan's 2026 yen intervention was enormous, but Federal Reserve balance-sheet data show FIMA was not used to fund it. That may be the more important finding. FIMA sits behind the global dollar system as a mechanism allowing approved foreign monetary authorit…
Global Macro Signals (🌐📡)Article
Open →The Capital Ladder: Where $100 to $1 Trillion Places You in the Global and American Wealth System
A deep Pattern Nexus regression and data analysis mapping where net worth levels from $100 to $1 trillion place an individual within the global and American wealth distributions. The research separates actual net worth from liquidity, accessible credit, gross…
Long-Form Thesis Reports (📘🔥)Article
Open →Fed Minutes: The Cut Trade Broke Because Inflation Has More Than One Engine
The June 16–17 FOMC minutes, released July 8, show a Fed that held rates steady but removed the easy easing bias. The deeper signal is that inflation pressure is now coming from multiple rails at once: tariffs, Middle East energy shock risk, AI infrastructure…
📊Macro & MarketsArticle
Open →Gold Was Right. The 10-Year Was Early. The War Premium Changed the Rate Path.
The original Pattern Nexus gold call hit the structural move: gold was not just trading inflation, it was repricing liquidity, policy failure, and the collateral stack. The miss was the 10-year yield. It did not break into the high-2% range because two wars c…
Commodities, Gold & FX (💰🌍)Article
Open →Hormuz Ceasefire Frays Again as U.S. Downs Iranian Drones Near Shipping Lanes
U.S. forces shot down two Iranian drones near the Strait of Hormuz after CENTCOM said they threatened international maritime traffic, according to EFE, AFP via Arab News, AP and Xinhua. The incident followed a prior exchange in which U.S. forces downed Irania…
Middle East & Energy Geopolitics (🛢️🔥)Article
Open →The Recession Path: How Income, Investment and Credit Can Turn a Technology Boom Into an Economic Reset
A forward model links income, spending, investment and credit, then tests its forecasts against modern U.S. data and 150 years of macrohistory. Growth remains the baseline. The research quantifies the route into recession and the severe, persistent conditions…
🧭Nexus ReportsArticle
Open →September CPI: Inflation Is Running Hot—and the Oil Work Explains Why
September CPI rose 0.6% for the month and 3.7% over the year, with gasoline responsible for more than half the monthly increase. I connect the report to the earlier Pattern Nexus oil, inventory, diesel and fertilizer research, explain the damage to real wages…
📊Macro & MarketsArticle
Open →Everything Bubble 3 — Markets Priced in Gold Reveal the Structural Melt-Up Ahead
Pricing markets in gold through August 4, 2026 exposes the hidden structure behind nominal records, margin debt, liquidity, debt and the Everything Bubble 3 melt-up.
🧭Nexus ReportsArticle
Open →The Two-Tier Future: War, Demand Destruction, AI, and the Price of Remaining Free
For years, I followed pieces of a possible two-tier economic future, then moved away from believing they would come together. In September 2026, the Iran oil shock, Ukraine refinery attacks, demand destruction, long-rate pressure, AI, robotics and the ownersh…
🧭Nexus Reports