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Markets now expect another 25 bps rate cut at the Fed’s Oct 28–29 meeting as unemployment rises and repo-market strains flicker. Powell signaled QT’s end is “coming into view,” Waller endorsed another cut, and Musalem said he could support one if inflation ri…
Long-Form Thesis Reports (📘🔥)Housing Affordability and Wealth Trends – October 2025, An in-depth look at how falling interest rates, easing inflation, and a shifting rental market are impacting real estate and wealth distribution in October 2025.
Market Cycles & Valuations (📊🏡)U.S. markets extended gains on Oct 28 2025 as tech stocks outperformed and volatility rose ahead of the Fed meeting. Gold steadied near $4,015 while investors weighed earnings, inflation, and global risk.
Signals & Charts (📈)The Federal Reserve cut rates to 3.75%–4.00% and scheduled the end of QT for December 1, 2025. Liquidity is turning, market plumbing is tight, and the setup for renewed balance-sheet expansion in 2026 is forming. This is the melt-up window — where asset holde…
Liquidity, QE/QT & Collateral (💧🏦)The U.S. 10-year yield didn’t “go up” — the 40-year bond bull ended. This analysis shows how 2020 broke the secular disinflation regime and launched a sovereign-credit repricing cycle mirroring the 1970s.
Market Cycles & Regimes (📅📊)
