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Fed Chair Odds as a Term-Premium Signal: Warsh Takes the Lead
Prediction markets are repricing Trump’s Fed chair pick toward Kevin Warsh. In the Pattern Nexus framework, this is not “personality politics.” It’s a term-premium and governance-risk signal that can move the long end, especially as allies fracture on trade blocs (Canada–China EV deal) and the U.S. deficit regime persists.
Published Jan 16, 2026 Article · relatedWeek Ahead: Markets, Data & Macro Risks (Nov 24–30, 2025)
A forward-looking Pattern Nexus walkthrough of the week of November 24–30, 2025, covering key economic data, market markers, and structural risks around AI, rates, and global macro.
Published Nov 23, 2025