Escalation Ladders
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Taiwan–China Drill Spiral (Dec 2025): “Justice Mission 2025,” Taiwan’s Rapid-Response Posture, and the Blockade Geometry
China’s largest-to-date live-fire exercise around Taiwan (“Justice Mission 2025”) rehearsed blockade and strike sequencing. Taiwan answered with rapid-response readiness and whole-of-society posture. This Pattern Nexus framework breaks down the operational geometry, map logic, escalation ladders, and what to watch next.
Published Dec 30, 2025
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Geopolitical Activity Report: Mid-December 2025
A systems-level geopolitical breakdown of Dec 10–21, 2025, as sanctions hardened into blockades, deterrence shifted toward modular escalation, and multiple theaters—from Venezuela to Taiwan to Southeast Asia—quietly reset global risk baselines.
Published Dec 21, 2025