Fed policy
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CPI (November 2025): Headline Cooling, Energy Re-Acceleration, and the “Two-Month CPI” Problem
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Published Dec 18, 2025
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Market Wrap – December 16, 2025: Delayed Jobs Print, Energy Weakness, AI Leadership Holds as the Curve Reprices Quietly
Markets finished mixed after a delayed jobs report and softening activity data. Energy weakened, gold firmed, AI leadership held, and the curve continued a quiet repricing under the short-end liquidity regime.
Published Dec 16, 2025
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Markets Catch Up to the Narrative: Jobs Noise, AI ROI Reality, and the Liquidity Repricing
A full cross-asset breakdown of December 16, 2025: the “noisy” delayed jobs report, a Fed that has already started cutting but won’t sprint, oil breaking below $60, and an AI complex forced to prove returns. This is not a headline day. It’s a regime day.
Published Dec 16, 2025
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QT Ends, Liquidity Returns: Why 2026 Is Almost Certainly the Next Balance-Sheet Expansion Cycle
Quantitative Tightening ends December 1st, and the plumbing shows reserves are already near scarcity. This article explains why 2026 is shaping up to be the next major liquidity-injection cycle, driven by heavy Treasury issuance, reserve demand, and Fed policy shifts.
Published Nov 25, 2025
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Markets Drop as Bank CEOs Warn of Pullback, Gold Slips, and Shutdown Risks Grow — Nov 4, 2025
U.S. stocks sold off on Nov 4 2025 as top Wall Street CEOs warned of a market pullback, bonds rallied, gold struggled, and investors braced for a U.S. government shutdown that may cut food aid in December. Japan's rally drew fresh 1980s bubble comparisons; tech leadership narrowed as volatility ticked up.
Published Nov 4, 2025