MBS
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The Housing Collateral Engine — Audio-Video Edition
Episode 7 of the weekly Pattern Nexus audio-video series turns Part 7 of Cycles of Power into a shorter story about how China's WTO entry, global reserve recycling, low interest rates, mortgage securitization, repo funding, derivatives, and shadow banking transformed American housing into the central collateral engine of the global dollar system between 2001 and 2008.
Published Sep 19, 2026
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Repo Is Back: Late-2025 Looks Like Late-2019
Open the published research article.
Published Dec 29, 2025
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Orderly Stress: Why Repo Stability Is Masking Deeper Collateral Strain
Repo markets remain orderly even as settlement fails and benchmark collateral strain emerge. This analysis explains why stable SOFR, modest ON RRP and MBS repo usage, and limited Fed operations can coexist with deeper stress in collateral mobility and dealer balance sheets.
Published Dec 26, 2025
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The Day QT Died and QE Began: December 1, 2025 — The Quiet Restart of the Liquidity Engine
QT officially ended on December 1, 2025 — but the real story happened in the plumbing. With the RRP buffer nearly gone, SOFR volumes exploding, and the Standing Repo Facility pulling in Treasuries, agencies, and MBS, the Fed quietly shifted from balance-sheet tightening to balance-sheet backfilling. This was the moment the liquidity regime flipped.
Published Dec 2, 2025
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Gold Didn’t Moon — It Locked Into a New Liquidity Rail
QT ends tomorrow and the Fed pivots to managing reserves with T-bills and MBS roll-off. Gold already snapped into a new liquidity rail, pricing faster debasement and rising bank stress.
Published Nov 30, 2025
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🚨 The Fed Just Tapped the MBS Repo Valve — Why That Matters More Than People Think
The Federal Reserve quietly conducted nearly $9 billion in mortgage-backed repo operations after months of inactivity — signaling early liquidity strain in U.S. funding markets. Historically, this is how quantitative easing begins: the Fed provides collateral support before publicly announcing policy shifts. This article examines the data, the 2019 precedent, the QE connection, and what it could mean for 2026.
Published Oct 17, 2025