recession indicator
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Are Auto Sales Predicting a Recession? A 50-Year Regression and the 2026 Signal
Vehicle sales normally weaken before recession becomes obvious elsewhere. Pattern Nexus reconstructs every U.S. recession since 1976, builds auto-only and cross-channel recession models, audits prices, financing, delinquency and buyer concentration, and explains why strong mid-2026 sales reject an immediate recession call without proving broad household strength.
Published Aug 6, 2026
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Can the 10-Year Treasury Predict Recessions? A 40-Year Pattern Nexus Lens Analysis
A 40-year structural analysis of the US 10-Year Treasury futures market, showing how recessions consistently collide with long-term yield channels, why yield curve inversions continue to matter, and what today’s setup means for the next macro cycle. A full Pattern Nexus Lens breakdown.
Published Nov 20, 2025