yield curve
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Are Auto Sales Predicting a Recession? A 50-Year Regression and the 2026 Signal
Vehicle sales normally weaken before recession becomes obvious elsewhere. Pattern Nexus reconstructs every U.S. recession since 1976, builds auto-only and cross-channel recession models, audits prices, financing, delinquency and buyer concentration, and explains why strong mid-2026 sales reject an immediate recession call without proving broad household strength.
Published Aug 6, 2026 Article · relatedMarket Wrap – December 18, 2025: Equities Higher, Bonds Bid, Metals Volatile, Crypto Lags
U.S. markets closed higher on December 18, 2025, led by tech and AI names, while bonds were bid, gold and silver saw sharp intraday swings, and crypto diverged lower. A cross-asset digestion day.
Published Dec 18, 2025 Article · relatedMarket Wrap – December 16, 2025: Delayed Jobs Print, Energy Weakness, AI Leadership Holds as the Curve Reprices Quietly
Markets finished mixed after a delayed jobs report and softening activity data. Energy weakened, gold firmed, AI leadership held, and the curve continued a quiet repricing under the short-end liquidity regime.
Published Dec 16, 2025