Taga: term premium
QE 2026, Phase Two: When the Long End Forces Duratio...
The Fed already ended QT and expanded Treasury holdings through bill-focused ...
Two Economies, One Balance Sheet: The Unstable Barbe...
Reserve support has returned, but real long rates, fiscal supply, and an AI-e...
The Deficit Never Ends: How Annual Shortfalls Build ...
Most people use “deficit” and “debt” as if they mean the same thing. They do ...
Treasury Turns Long-Bond Buybacks Into a Yield-Contr...
Treasury said it will raise maximum liquidity-support buybacks in the 10-to-2...
The Price of a Fractured World: Why the 30-Year Trea...
Something about the global system feels uncomfortable, and the last month of ...
The Fed’s Long-End Trap: Why a 4.65% 10-Year Is Alre...
A full July 2026 data reconstruction of the Federal Reserve’s next policy pat...
Fed Minutes: The Cut Trade Broke Because Inflation H...
The June 16–17 FOMC minutes, released July 8, show a Fed that held rates stea...
Gold Was Right. The 10-Year Was Early. The War Premi...
The original Pattern Nexus gold call hit the structural move: gold was not ju...
The Weekly Market Wrap: The Week the 10-Year Stopped...
A volatile week across equities, bonds, commodities, and crypto. Stocks chopp...
