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Tag: term premium

The Fed’s Long-End Trap: Why a 4.65% 10-Year Is Alre...

A full July 2026 data reconstruction of the Federal Reserve’s next policy pat...

Fed Minutes: The Cut Trade Broke Because Inflation H...

The June 16–17 FOMC minutes, released July 8, show a Fed that held rates stea...

Gold Was Right. The 10-Year Was Early. The War Premi...

The original Pattern Nexus gold call hit the structural move: gold was not ju...

The Weekly Market Wrap: The Week the 10-Year Stopped...

A volatile week across equities, bonds, commodities, and crypto. Stocks chopp...